market. the first half is going to face some pretty big headwinds from the economy, so i'm cautious about the next few months here. >> cautious about the next few months, so does that translate into taking money out of stocks? is this rally that we've been seeing, even though we saw fractionial losses today, is it justified given these expectations that you think the economy turns downward? >> i think if you look just at the earnings picture and ignore what's going on in washington, the markets should be up even more. i mean, there's plenty of room for stocks to rally, and i do think once we get past this miss call austerity the rally will resume. we have to keep in mind that the market up until now has not seen really weak data, and it's about see some very soft consumption numbers. have you a $200 billion tax increase this year and a $110 billion sequester. these are not small fiscal tight things. it means that first and second quarter are going to be very weak. it's no longer going to be talking about the risks of the fiscal cliff. we're actually getting about half of the fiscal cliff,